My "Transform Your Summer" Mt Dew Hoodie posted

July 6
me: this mountain dew hoodie currently has 2,728 entries
me: there are 300 winners
Josh: 1 in 9
me: is that a 1:9 chance?
Josh: yep
me: and i have 18 codes
Josh: 2:1 chance
Josh: 18:9
me: those are good odds
Josh: Mathmatically, you should win a hoodie
Josh: very
me: maybe even 2 hoodies
me: haha
Josh: If someone would take the bet, I would bet $100 that you win a hoodie with those odds
Josh: haha

July 6, IRC
<broox> anyone want to make a bet for $100 that i win a hoodie from this mountain dew contest?
<npl> i do not
<npl> but thanks

July 10
me: i never did enter my codes for that hoodie that day
Josh: haha
me: so i have 23 now
me: today's current entries: 2409
me: 300 winners
me: i bet we can assume that doubles
me: which should gaurantee that i win still
Josh: yeah
me: mathematically

July 25
I got my Mt Dew Hoodie.

Now I'm going to mathematically win the Optimus Prime toy.

comments

  • npl was super smart not to take that bet

    Nicole posted

  • hey man, long time, it's Jordan. I got a website for you to check out. Visit me sometime at www.theendisforever.com and update your link for my site

    Jordan Muck posted

  • I AM GLAID I WON THAT HOODE

    DIANN WILLIS posted

  • Aug 1

    me: i just put in 30 codes for optimus prime

    me: that should give me about a 40-50% chance of winning

    Josh: Nice

    Josh: Good luck

    me: psh

    me: this is skill

    Josh: hahahah

    me: or something

    Josh: Ask if anybody will give you 3:1 that you get an Optimus Prime.

    me: you know though

    me: if other people enter multiple codes like this

    me: i bet they just give 1 toy per person

    me: so if 100 people enter 30 codes

    me: i think my odds are pretty good here

    Josh: True



    Oct 2

    I got my Pepsi Optimus Prime toy in the mail, hahaha.

    derek posted

  • 15 days later to get the hoodie. 62 later to get the toy.

    Josh posted